The adjusted expectations are approximately
These quantities, which are constructed solely from belief specifications, are functions of the (unobserved) data; informally they are akin to estimators in the traditional sense. Generally speaking, it is difficult to tell whether a small coefficient truly indicates unimportance because of the different expectations and scalings of and . For this reason, we also examine the standardised adjusted expectations, being approximately
is our general notation for the standardised representation of a quantity. Now each coefficient multiplies a quantity that has expectation zero and variance unity, so that the coefficients are more readily comparable. (The constants added in each case are the initial expectations for and .) We see that the adjusted expectation for depends essentially on , plus a base value of 4.16; whereas the adjusted expectation for depends upon a rather larger base value, plus essentially an average of the before-and-after blood-glucose readings.