EXAM

May/June 2016 Examinations Timetable

In the revision lectures we shall discuss some questions from 2007-2015 papers; you are strongly encouraged to attempt these papers. As a natural supplement, you should revise the homework and tutorial problems. You might also find the following checklist helpful.



Sequences of events and their limits

By the end of this section you should be able to:

  • state and apply the continuity property of probability measures along monotone sequences of events;
  • state and prove the Borel-Cantelli lemma; apply it to infinite sequences of events.

Convergence of random variables

By the end of this section you should be able to:

  • define convergence in Lr, verify whether a given sequence of random variables converges in Lr;
  • define convergence in probability, verify whether a given sequence of random variables converges in probability;
  • explain the relation between convergence in Lr and convergence in probability (Lemma 2.8);
  • state and apply the criterion of convergence in L2 (Theorem 2.10);
  • define almost sure convergence, verify whether a given sequence of random variables converges almost surely;
  • state and apply the criterion of almost sure convergence (Lemma 2.15);
  • state and apply the Strong Laws of Large Numbers.

Elements of integration

By the end of this section you should be able to:

  • describe the main steps in the construction of the Lebesgue integral and compare it to the Riemann integral;
  • state the main properties of the Lebesgue integral;
  • state and apply the Monotone Convergence theorem;
  • state and apply the Dominated Convergence theorem.

Generating functions

By the end of this section you should be able to:

  • define ordinary, probability, and moment generating functions;
  • derive the value of the nth term of a sequence from the corresponding generating function;
  • state and apply the theorem about generating functions of convolutions;
  • use probability generating functions to compute moments of random variables;
  • state and apply the uniqueness and continuity theorems for generating functions;
  • use generating functions in solving recurrent relations;
  • explain the role of generating functions in proving convergence in distribution.

Markov Chains

By the end of this section you should be able to:

  • define a Markov chain, verify whether a given process is a Markov chain;
  • compute the n-step transition probabilities pij(n) for a given Markov chain;
  • identify classes of communicating states, explain which classes are closed and which are not; identify absorbing states;
  • check whether a given Markov chain is irreducible;
  • determine the period of every state for a given Markov chain;
  • compute absorption probabilities and expected hitting times;
  • define transient and (positive/null) recurrent states;
  • compute the first passage probabilities fij and use them to classify states into transient and recurrent;
  • use the n-step transition probabilities pij(n) to classify states into transient and recurrent;
  • find all stationary distributions for a given Markov chain;
  • state and apply the convergence to equilibrium theorem for Markov chains;
  • state and apply the Ergodic theorem;
  • state and use the relation between the stationary distribution and the mean return times;
  • define reversible measures and state their main properties;
  • check whether a given Markov chain is reversible;
  • find stationary distributions for random walks on graphs.