Consider a second-order exchangeable sequence . This has the property (see [37]) that each may be decomposed as , where
are uncorrelated; and where the have expectation zero and common variance . For such sequences it is typically possible to learn only about the common mean quantity M. Therefore, the sequence can be summarised by knowledge of , , , and the notion of repetition.
In [B/D] we choose to represent an exchangeable sequence by a solitary element with expectation being the expectation common to each . For the variance quantities and (the sum is the common variance ) we associate with the element two different variance storage areas. For example, to summarise this exchangeable sequence we could define an element called X with associated expectation , and specify two kinds of variances: and . (it is usually more covenient to store the overall variance, as the residual variance can always be found by subtraction if necessary).